Best time to book flight tickets to Seville (page 2 of 3)

Hello,

I thought I had explained how flight ticket prices change over time based on my own experience after living through what I described. It didn’t work out! I think some of you didn’t read my post.

What a fuss this discussion is 😉 If you’re able to answer the questions you’re asking yourselves, what’s the point of this thread then? Don’t you think it’s like a snake biting its own tail? 😛 You guys are really something else, haha

We get where you're going, but where are you leaving from? I don’t think I read that part. From what I gather, you’re talking about either Transavia or Vueling, not Ryanair (due to aversion) or Air France. The return date also heavily impacts the round-trip ticket and its price—if you return on January 7th, for example, prices will be at their lowest. When are you heading back? Or are you talking about a one-way ticket?

Michel

Hello,

I thought I had explained how flight ticket prices change over time based on my own experience after living through what I described. Guess not! I think some of you didn’t read my post.

What a fuss this discussion is 😉 If you’re able to answer the questions you’re asking yourselves, what’s the point of this thread then? Don’t you think it’s like a snake biting its own tail? 😛 You guys are really something else, haha

If they shared their departure airport, exact return dates, and chosen flight times, we could check their claims over time. After all, it’s only a month and a half away—but will they do it? So this topic can actually make sense.

you're right, we don't know the departure city

I'm leaving from Paris

Here's a screenshot of a round-trip flight from December 27th to January 2nd for 2 people. You can see the graph showing the drop in airfare prices. It's rare for me to waste so much time like this for nothing—this exchange wasn’t constructive at all and didn’t give me anything. No comment. __

I had attached the hard copy, but it’s no longer possible to send a screenshot. Too bad. Sorry.

I'm leaving from Paris

Here's a screenshot of a round-trip flight from December 27th to January 2nd for 2 people. You can see the graph showing the drop in airfare prices. It's rare for me to waste so much time like this for nothing, for an exchange I'd say is totally unconstructive and brings me absolutely nothing. No comment. __

I had attached the hard copy, but it's no longer possible to send a screenshot. Too bad. Sorry.

Good evening, just so you know, Paris has 3 airports—it doesn’t help us know where you’re departing from. Plus, you're hoping to save money while traveling to one of the most tourist-heavy areas during the end-of-year period, which for Spaniards means a lot of travel since they’re very family-oriented. And you’ve chosen a Friday and a Saturday for your flights—the most expensive days, actually, since Tuesdays and Wednesdays are more affordable. And if you’re stuck only using Kayak without following their links to the airline sites (which is rare on this site), you’ll be in for some surprises. Anyway, screenshots work here (if you tell us your chosen times, the airport, and whether checked bags are included, we can find you a better deal than what you’ve found). It’d be great for everyone if this thread continued so we can see the follow-up, which could interest quite a few members.

Hi there,

I’ve—well, we’ve—already tried explaining to them that flights on those dates, to that destination, are really peak season and full fare, and that in any case, the planes would be fully booked, even at 450 € or 500 € for a round-trip ticket. We can obviously attach a screenshot.

That theory about last-minute cheap tickets to "fill up" the plane—I’ve never actually seen it happen. I’ve traveled on nearly empty flights before, but I never noticed prices being slashed at the last minute.

Michel

Good evening,

I’ve—we’ve—already tried to explain to him that flights on that date, to that destination, are really at the peak of high season and full fare, and that in any case, the planes would be full, even at 450 or 500 € for a round-trip ticket. We can obviously attach a screenshot.

That theory about last-minute cheap tickets to "fill" the plane—I’ve never seen it proven. I’ve traveled on nearly empty planes before, but I never noticed that prices had been slashed at the last minute.

Michel

Good evening, I never travel during holidays or school vacations, but for the rest of the year, I confirm what the author of this post says. Often, prices are the same whether you book two months in advance or 15 days before departure, but never cheaper in the last 15 days.

What you're suggesting is possible if the airline doesn't fully understand the demand for its product or doesn't adapt quickly enough to changes in demand. That seems increasingly implausible given modern information systems.

If we could expect prices to drop as departure approaches, everyone would wait for that drop to book. Since the plane would be practically empty before the price cut, the airline would have to slash prices dramatically to fill it—on top of facing huge uncertainty and no cash flow for a long period. If this process were repeated across thousands of flights, it’d be a surefire recipe for bankruptcy. Don’t forget that airlines get interest-free financing when we book in advance; they have every reason to encourage us to do so.

Airlines aim to model the rate at which tickets will sell throughout the year, slightly lowering prices when demand is lower than expected and raising them when it’s higher. The goal is to leave just a few seats for those who *have* to buy last-minute. It doesn’t always work, and sometimes a plane might fly 75% empty, but that’s still better than permanently reducing revenue with a fire sale just to fill the aircraft.

The simplest approach is to book as soon as the price suits you **and** you’re certain you’ll take the flight. You can also sign up for price alerts and spend 15 minutes a day for months checking if it’s dropped by 20 €. That’s fine if you enjoy it.

Hey Michel,

That theory about last-minute cheap tickets to "fill up" planes—I’ve never seen it proven. I’ve traveled on nearly empty flights, but I never noticed prices being slashed at the last minute.

Here’s an example of a major price adjustment:

Ryanair applies a record 500% price hike on a round-trip flight to the sun from Beauvais! - Courrier Picard

As always, it’s all about supply and demand. And when not enough seats are sold at the desired prices, it happens (almost exclusively with low-cost airlines) that the flight is simply canceled more than 14 days before departure to avoid paying compensation. It’s way cheaper than discounting seats with a poor load factor. Business is business 😄

Hello, if you want to fly cheap, Ryanair is around 200 € round-trip to SVQ at the end of December...

But the flight leaves from Beauvais, and of course, the base price is only with a small bag...

Hi,

212 one-way. Round trip 480 with carry-on luggage. Just checked for the dates mentioned in this thread.

Michel

True, if you’re not a bit flexible with the dates and departure airport, the price is 2x higher…

Hello, if you want to fly cheap, Ryanair is around 200 € round-trip for SVQ at the end of December...

But the flight leaves from Beauvais and of course the base price is only with a small bag...

Hi, why keep insisting on replying to this person when they clearly said "given the comments, we were useless"—more precisely, "broken legs" They have a point in the sense that they clearly stated: "no Ryanair" Then they added: "I don’t think it’s worth continuing a discussion that can only be pointless given the comments." They initially asked a very specific question that required more info to answer, but since they refuse to give the details we asked for (which departure airport, what times they chose in their simulation, cabin baggage and/or hold luggage, whether they picked the site Kayak suggested for the price they saw or the airline they saw with a lower price, etc...) Understand that they’ve moved on and couldn’t care less about the help we could’ve given them.

And all that for a flight to Spain, which isn’t the hardest to find…

And all that for a flight to Spain, which isn’t the hardest to find....

Here’s the recap: he wants to wait until the last minute hoping the price drops Between Christmas and New Year’s, he’s really pushing it and risks paying a lot (trying to find the cheapest during the holidays) 🤪 He doesn’t want Ryanair 🤪 He stopped responding even though we were about to find him something cheaper than his simulation if he gave us more info 🤪 At my place, we use kayaks to go down rivers 🤪 We’re "useless" (in his words) 🤪 Good luck with his search and happy travels!!!

To sum up: he wants to wait until the last minute hoping the price will drop. Between Christmas and New Year’s, he’s really pushing it and risks paying a lot (trying to find the cheapest during the holidays) He doesn’t want Ryanair He stopped responding even though we were about to find him a better deal than his simulation if he’d just given us more info Where I come from, we use kayaks to go down rivers We’re "useless" (in his words) Good luck with his search and happy travels!!!

And he’s used to getting cheaper prices at the last minute. But he’s asking for opinions and feedback on this. And since there aren’t any... Well, here we are 😅

It’s rare that I waste so much time like this for nothing, for an exchange I’d say is totally unconstructive and brings me absolutely nothing

Good thing for me too—I won’t be wasting any more time on this post 😤

Hello,

This message is for the "know-it-alls" who replied to me in this thread,

those who have logic for everything, who are convinced they know it all, those who are immediately recognized when traveling abroad! Those who answered my question: Did they know of any logic in the evolution of a flight ticket's price from its issuance until the plane's departure? Here’s the price of a flight ticket 11 days before departure for the same departure and arrival dates, and for the best departure times whether leaving from Paris or returning from Seville. It went from 420 € to 308 €, a drop of about 35%. No comment on "yield management," to the one who predicted 600 euros, to the one who needed to know the departure airport! To the others who thought that at this time of year, to the born optimists—basically, to all the "know-it-alls"! No further comment is necessary. Thank you.

Happy New Year to everyone. I can’t attach the hard copy since the forum doesn’t accept it, but here’s a copy:

09:55 – 12:30 CDGParis-Charles-de-Gaulle SVQSeville Airport direct 2h 35min · 11:20 – 13:45 SVQSeville Airport - ORYParis-Orly Airport direct 2h 25min Vueling, Transavia France Non-refundable 309 € Economy

Good evening,

I can't attach the hard copy—the forum won't accept it—but here's a copy

VF accepts screenshots, so I don’t see the issue. It’d make things clearer.

Michel

Good evening tatra First, I’ll quote your nonsense, your disbelief, and your insistence in these exchanges.

The saddest part is how heavily you’re insisting.

"I’ve—we’ve—already tried explaining to them that flights on those dates, to that destination, are peak season at full price, and that planes would be fully booked anyway, even at 450 or 500 € for a round-trip ticket. We can obviously attach a screenshot.

This theory about last-minute cheap tickets just to "fill" the plane—I’ve never seen proof of it. I’ve traveled on nearly empty flights, but I never noticed prices being slashed at the last minute." —Michel

"We’ve already tried explaining that flights on those dates..." I don’t care about your explanations—I’ve taken countless trips!

Who do you think you are? Go ahead and send a message with a screenshot attached—you’ll see the forum’s response.

Better yet, there’s much better:

Your silence will be the best response because you’re exhausting me. I don’t want

to read you, not at all—I have no desire to read you. You don’t understand anything that’s written.

This forum should be constructive and meant for helping each other or sharing travel experiences— which isn’t what you’re doing.