When to buy cheap flight tickets to Thailand?
FR

Translated into English.

Original post
DO
Dear VoyageForum members,

For the past two months, I’ve been checking flight ticket prices to spend 4.5 weeks in Thailand from early July to early August. I’m traveling from Brussels with a young child, so I want to avoid layovers. That’s why I’m only looking at Thai Airways’ website and only choosing direct flights.

At the end of August, I saw tickets for 955 € per person. On October 1st, they were 1,225 €. Today (October 22nd), the price is the same as on October 1st. (Same dates: Departure: July 4th, Return: August 7th.)

My question is: Is it possible these prices will drop significantly in the coming months?

Note: I clear my browser cache before every search, which I always do during the week and in the evening. This time, I also checked with my work computer, which has a VPN. So, the price isn’t influenced by cookies.

Thanks in advance for your feedback and tips.

Damien
4E 4ecofuel Regular ·
Hi there,

When I have the chance to buy tickets well in advance, I usually find the best fares about 5 months before departure. And prices tend to be lowest at the start of the week. So in your case, that would be late January or early February.

Fred
JO Jojoone1 Globetrotter ·
For several years now, I’ve found the best prices almost a year in advance.
« Tout le monde s'interroge sur comment laisser une meilleure planète à nos enfants, mais on devrait plutôt penser à laisser de meilleurs enfants pour notre planète. » Clint Eastwood
KA Kate Globetrotter ·
Hi there,

A little survey from Capital: https://www.capital.fr/conso/quand-acheter-son-billet-davion-au-meilleur-prix-1472776

I only look for my tickets on the Thai Airways website, and I only choose direct flights.

If you only look at flights from the same airline, you’re missing out on the competition, and direct flights are often more expensive than those with a layover. Would a layover halfway be too much of a hassle with a child? On the contrary, couldn’t it provide a beneficial break?
Mes photos sur Flickr: https://www.flickr.com/photos/153304262@N05/albums "Le Temps nous égare. Le Temps nous étreint. Le Temps nous est gare. Le Temps nous est train".
SO Songsam Veteran ·
Hi there,

The answer isn’t straightforward because we can only give advice, not foot the bill. Over the past few years, there haven’t been any hard-and-fast rules about how far in advance to buy tickets to get the lowest price.

When I first started traveling to Thailand, I’d book my ticket 3–4 months ahead. But life’s taken a different turn, and for the last ~35 trips, I’ve never booked more than 10 days in advance (sometimes just 2 or 3 days before departure). That’s let me see prices often drop significantly in that window, hitting their lowest point. But I’m always flexible with my dates by 2–3 days. Still, I know my approach might not work for you—especially since you’re not traveling solo.

Booking almost a year in advance is another extreme. The longer you wait before your trip, the higher the chance something comes up (family, health, work) that could prevent you from going. And that risk multiplies with each family member traveling with you. If you have to cancel, at best you’ll only get a partial refund—at worst, you lose everything.

If I were you, I’d pick a middle ground between those two extremes.
SO Songsam Veteran ·
A layover halfway would be too much of a hassle with a kid? Wouldn’t it, on the contrary, allow for a beneficial break?

To ask the question differently, how do you keep a kid quiet for 11-12 hours straight on a plane?
TA Tatra Globetrotter ·
Hi Damien,

If you're really set on a direct flight, you're lucky to live in Belgium at least. You can try other airlines from nearby hubs like Amsterdam, Paris, or maybe Frankfurt—but I think it's Munich instead. But a layover isn’t bad—it’s actually great, even really nice, and makes for a more pleasant flight. Cheaper for better service, too.

Michel
SO Songsam Veteran ·
But a layover is good, it's even really good and makes for a more pleasant flight.

And often with airlines (from the Gulf, for example) that are better than Thai Airways.
MA Mathews Globetrotter ·
At the end of August, I saw tickets at 955 € per person. On October 1st, they were at 1225 €.

Hi, it's simple—over two months, people bought tickets for this travel window. Online ticket sales sites operate on the law of supply and demand. The more buyers there are, the more ticket prices tend to rise. Obviously, Thailand is a very popular destination. That said, if you find good last-minute deals, it’s because the airline is discounting its unsold tickets.
DJ Djalma Globetrotter ·
I think buying your ticket almost a year in advance is another extreme because the longer the wait before departure, the higher the risk of something coming up (family, health, work...) that prevents you from leaving. Plus, that risk is multiplied by the number of people in your family traveling together. And if you cancel, at best you’re only partially refunded, at worst you lose everything.

Totally agree.

When I first started traveling to Thailand, I used to buy my ticket 3-4 months in advance. But over the last ~35 trips, life meant I never booked more than 10 days before departure (sometimes just 2 or 3 days). That’s let me see that prices often drop significantly during that time, sometimes hitting their lowest. But I always stay flexible with my dates by 2-3 days. Still, I get that my answer might not work for you since you’re not traveling alone. I think buying your ticket almost a year in advance is another extreme because the longer the wait before departure, the higher the risk of something coming up (family, health, work...) that prevents you from leaving. Plus, that risk is multiplied by the number of people in your family traveling together. And if you cancel, at best you’re only partially refunded, at worst you lose everything.

If I were you, I’d pick a middle ground between those two extremes.

I don’t think this is specific to Thailand. For many years now, I’ve been buying my tickets no more than 2-3 months in advance, and I’ve noticed that prices are lower than what I saw 6 months earlier. I recently had proof of this again for a trip to Cape Verde. Just a heads-up: searching occasionally hasn’t led to price increases in my case (at least not for me personally).
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-XCOyB7WStI https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g2eI67iCbKY
DO DomBegga ·
Thanks for the article, Kate. :-)
DO DomBegga ·
Thanks for your wisdom, Songsam.
DO DomBegga ·
Hi Tatra,

Since I don’t have a personal car, traveling from a nearby airport doesn’t save me money (it means taking train tickets, a night in a hotel, etc.), and it adds an extra day to the trip.
TA Tatra Globetrotter ·
You're so lucky to live in Brussels :) 🤪.

Michel
MA Manondugard Regular ·
Dear VoyageForum members,

For the past two months, I’ve been checking flight ticket prices to spend 4.5 weeks in Thailand from early July to early August. I’m flying from Brussels with a young child, so I want to avoid layovers. That’s why I’m only looking at Thai Airways’ website and only choosing direct flights.

At the end of August, I saw tickets for 955 € per person. On October 1st, they were 1225 €. Today (October 22nd), the price is the same as on October 1st. (Same dates: Departure: July 4th, Return: August 7th.)

My question is: is it possible that these prices will drop significantly in the coming months?

Note: I clear my browser cache before each search, which I always do during the week and in the evening. This time, we also checked with my work computer, which has a VPN. So, the price isn’t influenced by cookies.

Thanks in advance for your feedback and advice.

Damien

Hey, Your destination and dates in July-August mean prices are likely to rise quickly in the coming months because flights will fill up fast. Personally, since I don’t travel to tourist destinations or during school holidays, I do the opposite and book my flights 10-15 days before my chosen departure date. In your case, you’ve chosen the most expensive options (capital-to-capital, July-August, no layovers, and two dates falling on weekends). If you don’t want to change your plan, at least try nearby airports (using all airlines on Google Flights). Otherwise, the cheapest flights are those with long layovers—I choose them for the price and to enjoy visiting the cities where I have layovers without paying extra to get there. I think with long flights, a kid needs to stretch their legs (a layover is ideal for that). The cheapest flights are also usually the early morning ones. It also depends on your exact destination (Bangkok, Phuket, etc.). For your dates, there are flights with a short layover for around 900 € with a single airline for both legs (Cathay Pacific).
Christine
DO DomBegga ·
You're really lucky to live in Brussels 🙂.

Michel

Indeed. It lacks a bit of light in winter, but otherwise it's a very pleasant city—small and very green, yet with the advantages of a big one (cosmopolitan vibe, cultural offerings...). Many Parisians are leaving the City of Light to settle here—which means you can find more and more excellent French bakeries. :-)

Damien
SO Songsam Veteran ·
Note that occasionally searching hasn’t led to any price increases.

In this case, it’s not an increase you need to worry about—it’s the lack of a decrease.
KA Kate Globetrotter ·
I don’t know if we can lay down absolute truths in this area 😕

Whether it’s a long or short time in advance, day or night, at work or at home... I’ve managed to find really cheap tickets to Asia without any set search rules, but mostly by dedicating quite a bit of time to it—running different simulations, setting up alerts on search engines, and, let’s be honest, sometimes just getting lucky!

As you mentioned, having flexibility of 2-3 days in your dates is a plus, as is choosing between different departure airports.
Mes photos sur Flickr: https://www.flickr.com/photos/153304262@N05/albums "Le Temps nous égare. Le Temps nous étreint. Le Temps nous est gare. Le Temps nous est train".
HE Henon21 Veteran ·
Hi Mathews, You’ve summed up the situation perfectly for me. At 82, I’ve tried a lot of things over the years, but I haven’t been able to pin down any hard-and-fast rules—except that filling up the plane seems to matter. For the past 20 years or so, I’ve followed another tip from an Asian airline: buying tickets through a Chinese agency. At worst, it’s the same price, but often it’s cheaper. Sometimes they even buy their tickets directly in Bangkok for Thailand flights. Recently, for a Paris-Tokyo round trip, we paid just 10 € less but got premium economy, two 23kg checked bags per person, *and* agency service. Quite the experience!
HENON Eric
KA Kate Globetrotter ·
Paris Tokyo round-trip for 10 € less we had premium economy

Hi

10 € less than what? The original price? Economy class?
Mes photos sur Flickr: https://www.flickr.com/photos/153304262@N05/albums "Le Temps nous égare. Le Temps nous étreint. Le Temps nous est gare. Le Temps nous est train".
SE Sebastoudu31 Regular ·
hi oh good tip what’s this agency? Best regards
HE Henon21 Veteran ·
Hi! From the standard economy price.
HENON Eric
HE Henon21 Veteran ·
Hi, I just sent you a PM. Eric
HENON Eric
SE Sebastoudu31 Regular ·
thanks Eric
DO DomBegga ·
Hello I just sent you a PM Eric

... I'm interested too. :-)

Is the service good in case of cancellation or date change?
MA Mathews Globetrotter ·
hey Henon21 thanks for the feedback
DO DomBegga ·
Good evening Thierry,

After contacting a few travel agencies—one of which told me that prices can’t drop unless a group cancellation happens (airlines set these prices based on flight booking levels, as Matthew explained earlier)—I’m starting to regret not buying my tickets back in August.

Which leads me to my question: Does the following still hold true when you have cancellation insurance (I have one through my VISA GOLD, and I’ve linked the specific terms at the end of this message)?

I think buying your ticket almost a year in advance is another extreme because the longer the wait before departure, the higher the risk of something coming up (family, health, work...) that prevents you from leaving. Plus, that risk multiplies with each family member traveling together. And if you have to cancel, at best you’re only partially refunded—at worst, you lose everything.

Are cancellation insurance policies an effective solution if something goes wrong?

Damien

Here are the specific terms of my cancellation insurance, in case anyone’s looking for some light reading: https://assets.ctfassets.net/pniyec9izm4q/2INHFOH7pFZCunUJVh3tOB/81fb7a6a4680aadd1be348768621c7c0/Travel_cancellation_and_interruption_Insurance_VISA_Gold_fr.pdf
SO Songsam Veteran ·
Hi Damien, I read all 4 pages of the terms and conditions—it looks like the coverage is pretty comprehensive and the exclusions seem logical, but since I’m not an expert on the subject, I can’t really vouch for it. AXA is definitely not some small, obscure insurance company.
DO DomBegga ·
Thanks Thierry.

What I wanted to know is if anyone on the forum has had experience with cancellation and insurance intervention.
HE Henon21 Veteran ·
Good evening

Yes, end of August 2025. My partner has a severe lung infection that spread to the pericardium. In short, 16 days in intensive care, etc. On the day of discharge, the agency handled all the necessary insurance paperwork for a total of 450 €. The agency reimbursed me for the airfare taxes—the contractual part of the Paris-Tokyo-Hanoi-Paris ticket. Within a month, I was back to square one financially. The hotel, unfortunately booked through Agoda, took longer and was more complicated, but it was reimbursed within a month and a half. Nothing to complain about. Eric
HENON Eric
FR FrançoiseVec Regular ·
Thanks Thierry.

What I wanted to know is if anyone on the forum has had experience with cancellation and insurance intervention.

Hello, A few years ago, my husband was urgently hospitalized (pulmonary embolism) the day before a trip to South Africa. The flight tickets were fully refunded by the insurance on our Visa Gold card. Best regards, Françoise
DJ Djalma Globetrotter ·
Hi,

This has never happened to us, but a couple of friends—one of whom got sick—had no problem getting a quick refund for the sick person’s ticket. However, for the healthy spouse, it was more difficult and took much longer... but they eventually succeeded. 😄 They had taken out travel insurance in addition to the one from their gold credit card.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-XCOyB7WStI https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g2eI67iCbKY
KA Kate Globetrotter ·
What I wanted to know is if anyone on the forum had experience with cancellation and insurance intervention.

Hi there,

I have the same insurance as you (the one from my Visa Gold card), which worked really well for reimbursing flights and hotels for both my partner and me after a scaphoid fracture. They asked for a medical certificate and X-rays. Another time, I got reimbursed for a flight after my employer refused my leave request. Gold just needed the refusal letter.

In both cases, the process was pretty straightforward despite the paperwork, communication with the insurer was smooth, and the reimbursement was quick. For the partner’s share, you need to be married, in a civil partnership, or cohabiting, and, of course, have paid for everything with the Gold card.

Every year, I call them to ask for the latest version of the general terms and conditions. They’ve changed before, especially for rental car insurance.
Mes photos sur Flickr: https://www.flickr.com/photos/153304262@N05/albums "Le Temps nous égare. Le Temps nous étreint. Le Temps nous est gare. Le Temps nous est train".
TI Ticapi Globetrotter ·
Thanks Thierry.

What I wanted to know was if anyone on the forum had experience with cancellation and insurance intervention.

My father-in-law was very ill; the doctors couldn’t tell us how much longer he had. We had a flight booked, along with hotels and a rental car. We couldn’t bring ourselves to leave knowing he might pass away while we were gone. I called our travel cancellation insurance, and they gave us two options.

First option: go as planned, and if he passed away, they would cover the cost of a faster return flight and reimburse the "unused" services—hotels, the car, and any non-refundable bookings.

Second option: not go on the trip at all, and the insurance would cover all the non-refundable bookings.

We chose the second option—no way we wanted to go on vacation in that situation. After sending the medical certificate, the insurance reimbursed us in less than two weeks.

The same insurance also covered some costs when we had to cancel our trip because of Covid.
DE Dennis2 Regular ·
hello yeah good info what’s this agency? Best regards

Same question here... what’s this agency?

It’s true that a long time ago, buying tickets from agencies in the 13th arrondissement could be a great tip.
AR Aroythai Globetrotter ·
Dear VoyageForum members,

For the past two months, I’ve been checking flight prices for a 4.5-week trip to Thailand from early July to early August. I’m leaving from Brussels with a young child, so I really want to avoid layovers. That’s why I’m only looking at Thai Airways’ website and only considering direct flights.

At the end of August, I saw tickets for 955 € per person. On October 1st, they were 1,225 €. Today (October 22nd), the price is the same as on October 1st. (Same dates: Departure: July 4th, Return: August 7th.)

My question is: is it possible that these prices will drop significantly in the coming months?

Note: I clear my browser cache before every search, which I always do during the week and in the evening. This time, we also checked on my work computer, which has a VPN. So, the price isn’t influenced by cookies.

Thanks in advance for your feedback and advice.

Damien

Hello,

If, for personal reasons, you absolutely want to take a direct flight from Brussels to Bangkok, then there’s really only one airline to consider!

You should try searching with slightly different departure and return dates—this might change the prices. But don’t get your hopes up: Thailand is no longer a budget destination, and that’s been the case for a while now. Happy searching!
aroythai
DO DomBegga ·
Hi there,

I was re-reading one of Aroythai’s posts and thought I’d answer my own question after doing more research (and still not buying my tickets, which are super expensive!):

- If you’re flexible (dates, airports, layovers, airlines), there are clearly opportunities to grab if you go by all the feedback pointing that way,

- But if you’re picky (wanting a direct flight, specific dates and airports, traveling during school holidays), it’s best to book as soon as tickets go on sale (1 year in advance) because prices just keep climbing.

Have a great weekend.

Damien

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